Question about demand and ORS

English Boards General
1

I have several questions regarding the demand and how are they distributed.

1. If there is no any competition, no alternative routing (just like the case of a new world just being opened), I am the sole operator between the flights. If between city A and B has a demand of 600 daily, even if my rating in ORS is in red light ( no matter how high the price and how bad the seating is, those 600 pax will still book on my flight?

2. I know ORS will load flights starting 72 hours later, but how will they be booked? Let's say as the same situation, is the booking system will book 600 pax for day 1 on the flights, day 2 600 pax and day 3 also 600 pax? Or each day they will only book 200 pax, so adding up to day 3, you will have booked all 600 pax in the flights?

3. I just want to clarify that, no matter how good your ORS, the demand for the city pair (O&D) will not be increased, right? As the demand in the system is loaded largely based on real traffic, or will better ORS generate some demand? (I know it can steal some connection traffic.)

Thanks in advance for answering.

2

I will answer nr1 based on my experience:

Even if you're monopolistic in the route, be careful how red is your ORS. If it's very red PAX won't book and will prefer to stay home...

3

  1. No, at least AFAIK.

  2. 600/day.

Don’t forget that a daily flight means that all of your flights are “competing” with the very same flight +/- 24h during the allocation.

So if you have an active schedule for a daily flight, bookings should come in 200/200/200 for each flight.

  1. No

A little tip for 2.:

Watch how bookings progress. You can easily determine the capacity you really need.

4

Regarding 2: Bookings happen once a day for each airport (check the airport page for the exact time). Since the flight is instanced 3 days ahead, you get three rounds of bookings.

5

Regarding 2: Bookings happen once a day for each airport (check the airport page for the exact time). Since the flight is instanced 3 days ahead, you get three rounds of bookings.

That means the total demand for a particular day is divided into 3 round of bookings?

6

Or whatever is booked is the demand of THAT day (the day of booking, not the day of flight)

7

That means the total demand for a particular day is divided into 3 round of bookings?

In general yes, in the airport information page you can see the demand calculation time. On that time all pax departing from that airport are spread over all the possible connections. However AS fo some reason doesn't book passengers on connections that don't arrive within 72 hours. That means in some circumstances a flight only get 2 rounds of demand calculation. 

For example,

you have a flight scheduled:

LHR - AMS

12:00 - 13:00

If the demand calculation is between 12:00 and 13:00 it will only recieve pax twice. Even if you will see the flight appearing at 12:00 three days in advance in you aircraft flights page, the bookings will start to drip in after 13:00. 

For high-demand short haul routes not much of a problem, On long-haul flights or flights with low demand it is something to be aware of.

8

Just to make sure I understood all: you can (of course) nowhere in the game check the demand of a flight in advance, right?

9

No, only by trial and error