I am struggling to understand relative demand and how it will affect my airlines on older servers. For example, let’s consider the link ORD-MSN. I am assuming that under the new regime, demand for this link will be reduced as in real life these are almost certainly mostly connecting pax. Can someone help me fill out the unknowns in the following equalities:

for MSN:

- demand to ORD will decrease by X
- demand to [???] will increase by X
- absolute demand remains the same (since X = X)

I suspect that [???] is something along the lines of “all destinations where there’s flights from ORD, weighted by their actual capacity”.

for ORD:

- demand to MSN will decrease by X
- demand to [???] will increase by X
- absolute demand remains the same (since X = X)

It is less clear to me what [???] is here. I suspect that it is something along the lines of “all destinations where there’s flights from ORD, weighted by their actual capacity, except for nearby destinations that are likely to be mostly connecting pax”.

Can anyone shed any light here? I understand that the specifics of the demand system is a closely guarded secret, so I don’t expect exact details, but hope that someone can at least confirm that I’m not wildly off base in my assumptions. Thanks.